Backtest de sinais cripto: desempenho das regras por moeda
Simulação apenas longa de cada regra com dados diários da Binance de 2021-09-01 (ou da data de listagem) até 2026-09-18, comissão de 0,1% por lado e execução na vela seguinte.
| Regra | Rendibilidade mediana | Perda máxima mediana | Supera comprar e manter |
|---|---|---|---|
| Comprar e manter | -73% | -94% | – |
| Diário | -8% | -58% | 82 / 100 |
| Semanal | -1% | -65% | 87 / 100 |
| Mensal | +0% | -63% | 84 / 100 |
| Anual | -19% | -68% | 82 / 100 |
Porque dominam as regras de seguimento de tendência nas criptomoedas
Antes de escolher estas regras testámos quinze estratégias populares de indicadores em 30 moedas de grande capitalização ao longo de cinco anos. As abordagens de reversão à média — comprar com o RSI abaixo de 30 ou comprar na banda inferior de Bollinger — perderam dinheiro no conjunto, porque nas criptomoedas as tendências de baixa duram muito mais do que os osciladores sugerem. O MACD isolado e o cruzamento dourado de 50/200 revelaram-se demasiado lentos ou demasiado ruidosos. As quatro regras usadas neste site (Supertrend com filtro de 200 dias, ruturas Donchian de 20/10 e 55/20 e um regime de 200 dias ascendente) superaram comprar e manter na maioria das moedas, reduzindo para cerca de metade a perda máxima. A sua taxa de acerto é baixa (30-40%%) por construção: acumulam muitas perdas pequenas e alguns ganhos muito grandes.
Cada página de moeda mostra esta mesma simulação para esse ativo específico; abaixo encontra a tabela completa.
Resultados por moeda
| # | Moeda | Comprar e manter | Diário | Semanal | Mensal | Anual | Perda máx. de B&H | Perda máx. mensal | Desde |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bitcoin BTC | +66% | +120% | +136% | +54% | +107% | -77% | -39% | 2021-09-01 |
| 2 |  Ethereum ETH | -32% | +70% | +10% | +48% | +3% | -79% | -35% | 2021-09-01 |
| 3 |  BNB BNB | +56% | +46% | +71% | +55% | -16% | -70% | -45% | 2021-09-01 |
| 4 |  XRP XRP | +13% | -16% | +168% | +5% | -6% | -78% | -59% | 2021-09-01 |
| 5 |  Solana SOL | +2% | +388% | +751% | +55% | +246% | -96% | -65% | 2021-09-01 |
| 6 |  TRON TRX | +256% | +30% | +12% | +11% | +237% | -60% | -56% | 2021-09-01 |
| 7 |  Zcash ZEC | +930% | +606% | +3,621% | +872% | +555% | -94% | -77% | 2021-09-01 |
| 8 |  Dogecoin DOGE | -70% | +5% | +230% | +85% | -68% | -85% | -58% | 2021-09-01 |
| 9 |  Chainlink LINK | -59% | -9% | -29% | -19% | -57% | -85% | -69% | 2021-09-01 |
| 10 |  Cardano ADA | -92% | -45% | -65% | -14% | -68% | -95% | -71% | 2021-09-01 |
| 11 |  Stellar XLM | -45% | +23% | +99% | +38% | -38% | -83% | -56% | 2021-09-01 |
| 12 |  Uniswap UNI | -72% | +8% | -9% | +38% | -51% | -92% | -78% | 2021-09-01 |
| 13 |  Bitcoin Cash BCH | -61% | +10% | -54% | +33% | -29% | -89% | -42% | 2021-09-01 |
| 14 |  NEAR Protocol NEAR | -32% | +151% | +705% | +114% | +3% | -95% | -77% | 2021-09-01 |
| 15 |  Litecoin LTC | -68% | -73% | -82% | -75% | -56% | -85% | -83% | 2021-09-01 |
| 16 |  Avalanche AVAX | -81% | +111% | +91% | +186% | -60% | -96% | -60% | 2021-09-01 |
| 17 |  Gram (prev. Toncoin) GRAM | -18% | +0% | -10% | +0% | +0% | -26% | +0% | 2026-07-02 |
| 18 |  Hedera HBAR | -70% | +21% | +153% | +76% | -46% | -93% | -65% | 2021-09-01 |
| 19 |  Sui SUI | -42% | +341% | +127% | +115% | +15% | -88% | -63% | 2023-05-03 |
| 20 |  Shiba Inu SHIB | -24% | -15% | +351% | +83% | +30% | -95% | -52% | 2021-09-01 |
| 21 |  Bittensor TAO | -60% | -71% | -41% | -15% | -55% | -80% | -58% | 2024-04-11 |
| 22 |  Aave AAVE | -66% | -13% | -63% | -42% | -41% | -88% | -76% | 2021-09-01 |
| 23 |  Ondo ONDO | -55% | -39% | -18% | -29% | +12% | -80% | -41% | 2025-04-11 |
| 24 |  Aster ASTER | -63% | +11% | -41% | -25% | +10% | -77% | -29% | 2025-10-06 |
| 25 |  Ethena ENA | -78% | +148% | -40% | +79% | -71% | -95% | -53% | 2024-04-02 |
| 26 |  Pump.fun PUMP | -28% | +47% | +29% | +5% | +4% | -86% | -49% | 2025-09-11 |
| 27 |  Polkadot DOT | -97% | -17% | -67% | -11% | -58% | -99% | -65% | 2021-09-01 |
| 28 |  World Liberty Financial WLFI | -75% | +0% | -35% | -16% | +0% | -79% | -20% | 2025-09-01 |
| 29 |  Morpho MORPHO | +33% | -15% | +16% | -12% | +13% | -51% | -33% | 2025-10-03 |
| 30 |  Pepe PEPE | +2% | +153% | +845% | +264% | +6% | -91% | -62% | 2023-05-05 |
| 31 |  Internet Computer ICP | -96% | +14% | -68% | -57% | -43% | -97% | -84% | 2021-09-01 |
| 32 |  Sky SKY | -10% | -15% | 0% | -22% | -34% | -46% | -32% | 2025-09-17 |
| 33 |  Worldcoin WLD | -80% | -17% | +24% | +43% | -73% | -98% | -79% | 2023-07-24 |
| 34 |  Arbitrum ARB | -83% | +42% | -2% | +2% | -19% | -97% | -74% | 2023-03-23 |
| 35 |  United Stables U | +0% | 0% | -1% | -1% | +0% | 0% | -1% | 2026-01-13 |
| 36 |  Ethereum Classic ETC | -88% | -61% | -37% | +5% | -58% | -92% | -43% | 2021-09-01 |
| 37 |  BFUSD BFUSD | +0% | -1% | -2% | -1% | -1% | 0% | -1% | 2025-08-13 |
| 38 |  POL (ex-MATIC) POL | -74% | -17% | +59% | -33% | -23% | -90% | -64% | 2024-09-13 |
| 39 |  JUST JST | +44% | -30% | +12% | -54% | +13% | -80% | -75% | 2021-09-01 |
| 40 |  Quant QNT | -66% | -35% | -21% | +4% | -86% | -89% | -52% | 2021-09-01 |
| 41 |  Jupiter JUP | -60% | -55% | -1% | -75% | -57% | -92% | -83% | 2024-01-31 |
| 42 |  Cosmos Hub ATOM | -93% | -50% | -63% | +64% | -43% | -97% | -49% | 2021-09-01 |
| 43 |  Algorand ALGO | -92% | +29% | +41% | +41% | -69% | -97% | -58% | 2021-09-01 |
| 44 |  Filecoin FIL | -99% | -60% | -20% | -59% | -57% | -99% | -83% | 2021-09-01 |
| 45 |  NEXO NEXO | -64% | -3% | +96% | +64% | -12% | -78% | -26% | 2022-04-29 |
| 46 |  PancakeSwap CAKE | -90% | -24% | +146% | +2% | -74% | -96% | -59% | 2021-09-01 |
| 47 |  Render RENDER | -77% | -37% | -28% | -66% | +0% | -88% | -72% | 2024-07-26 |
| 48 |  Injective INJ | -51% | +733% | -19% | +109% | +589% | -95% | -74% | 2021-09-01 |
| 49 |  Dash DASH | -73% | +191% | -33% | -37% | -49% | -93% | -81% | 2021-09-01 |
| 50 |  VeChain VET | -94% | +107% | +318% | -7% | -44% | -98% | -64% | 2021-09-01 |
| 51 |  Ether.fi ETHFI | -77% | -31% | +42% | -6% | +18% | -96% | -64% | 2024-03-18 |
| 52 |  Aerodrome Finance AERO | +37% | +0% | -8% | +0% | +0% | -15% | +0% | 2026-07-17 |
| 53 |  Aptos APT | -90% | +14% | -40% | +20% | -48% | -97% | -76% | 2022-10-19 |
| 54 |  Official Trump TRUMP | -96% | -34% | -59% | -20% | +0% | -97% | -30% | 2025-01-19 |
| 55 |  Stacks STX | -81% | +281% | +114% | +101% | -39% | -97% | -70% | 2021-09-01 |
| 56 |  Curve DAO CRV | -85% | +148% | +421% | -12% | -84% | -97% | -73% | 2021-09-01 |
| 57 |  Pudgy Penguins PENGU | -72% | +43% | +144% | +80% | -50% | -91% | -47% | 2024-12-17 |
| 58 |  币安人生 (BinanceLife) 币安人生 | +257% | -8% | +369% | +438% | +6% | -85% | -32% | 2026-01-07 |
| 59 |  Pyth Network PYTH | -87% | -34% | -70% | -80% | -24% | -97% | -85% | 2024-02-02 |
| 60 |  Pendle PENDLE | +203% | -31% | +163% | +302% | -3% | -85% | -47% | 2023-07-03 |
| 61 |  Raydium RAY | -85% | +1,647% | +4,916% | +990% | +324% | -99% | -74% | 2021-09-01 |
| 62 |  Virtuals Protocol VIRTUAL | +25% | -54% | -22% | -47% | -3% | -79% | -56% | 2025-04-11 |
| 63 |  Artificial Superintelligence Alliance FET | -74% | +579% | +474% | +456% | +198% | -96% | -72% | 2021-09-01 |
| 64 |  Midnight NIGHT | -50% | +0% | -36% | +0% | +0% | -67% | +0% | 2026-03-11 |
| 65 |  Celestia TIA | -82% | -48% | -87% | -43% | -7% | -99% | -64% | 2023-10-31 |
| 66 |  Tezos XTZ | -95% | -42% | -64% | +14% | -44% | -98% | -45% | 2021-09-01 |
| 67 |  LayerZero ZRO | -67% | -58% | -70% | -64% | -3% | -90% | -72% | 2024-06-20 |
| 68 |  Falcon Finance FF | -55% | +43% | -36% | -25% | +24% | -79% | -56% | 2025-09-29 |
| 69 |  Lido DAO LDO | -80% | -45% | -36% | +39% | -50% | -94% | -66% | 2022-05-09 |
| 70 |  Sei SEI | -73% | -62% | +65% | +81% | -77% | -96% | -71% | 2023-08-15 |
| 71 |  Sun Token SUN | -48% | +99% | +110% | -10% | +40% | -88% | -58% | 2021-09-01 |
| 72 |  Decred DCR | -90% | -53% | -70% | -78% | -76% | -95% | -88% | 2021-09-01 |
| 73 |  Gnosis GNO | -60% | -48% | +76% | -3% | -7% | -86% | -67% | 2021-09-01 |
| 74 |  Starknet STRK | -98% | -47% | -74% | -69% | -36% | -99% | -83% | 2024-02-20 |
| 75 |  Terra Luna Classic LUNC | -88% | +101% | -5% | +38% | -79% | -94% | -76% | 2022-09-09 |
| 76 |  Artificial Inu AI | -99% | -49% | -72% | -67% | -30% | -99% | -78% | 2024-01-04 |
| 77 |  Optimism OP | -90% | +87% | -47% | +63% | +50% | -98% | -72% | 2022-06-01 |
| 78 |  Arweave AR | -94% | +11% | -33% | -42% | +282% | -98% | -86% | 2021-09-01 |
| 79 |  Kite KITE | +44% | -26% | +121% | +47% | -8% | -70% | -42% | 2025-11-03 |
| 80 |  Bonk BONK | -87% | -27% | +185% | +0% | -61% | -96% | -56% | 2023-12-15 |
| 81 |  Ethereum Name Service ENS | -92% | -33% | +23% | -44% | -48% | -95% | -66% | 2021-11-10 |
| 82 |  Conflux CFX | -84% | +201% | -2% | +203% | -16% | -97% | -78% | 2021-09-01 |
| 83 |  Maple Finance SYRUP | 0% | -1% | -67% | -33% | +0% | -81% | -47% | 2025-05-06 |
| 84 |  FLOKI FLOKI | -46% | +74% | +615% | +87% | +40% | -94% | -79% | 2023-05-05 |
| 85 |  Plasma XPL | -93% | -36% | -65% | -40% | +0% | -96% | -45% | 2025-09-25 |
| 86 |  Jito JTO | -81% | -75% | -80% | +50% | -71% | -95% | -59% | 2023-12-07 |
| 87 |  Trust Wallet TWT | -48% | -13% | +4% | +55% | -70% | -87% | -56% | 2021-09-01 |
| 88 |  Zama ZAMA | +70% | +5% | +14% | +60% | +20% | -49% | -29% | 2026-02-02 |
| 89 |  The Graph GRT | -98% | +63% | +238% | -14% | -34% | -99% | -60% | 2021-09-01 |
| 90 |  Theta Network THETA | -97% | -18% | +87% | -12% | -23% | -99% | -63% | 2021-09-01 |
| 91 |  IOTA IOTA | -96% | -16% | -52% | -7% | -72% | -98% | -66% | 2021-09-01 |
| 92 |  EigenCloud (prev. EigenLayer) EIGEN | -94% | -56% | -76% | -69% | -34% | -97% | -79% | 2024-10-01 |
| 93 |  Compound COMP | -96% | -8% | -67% | -30% | -75% | -97% | -64% | 2021-09-01 |
| 94 |  dogwifhat WIF | -86% | -39% | -68% | -25% | -36% | -97% | -56% | 2024-03-05 |
| 95 |  JasmyCoin JASMY | -98% | +7% | +396% | -7% | +37% | -99% | -83% | 2021-11-22 |
| 96 |  Kaia KAIA | -79% | -23% | -58% | -62% | -4% | -94% | -72% | 2024-10-31 |
| 97 |  Convex Finance CVX | -96% | -53% | +171% | -42% | -81% | -98% | -70% | 2021-12-23 |
| 98 |  THORChain RUNE | -95% | -5% | +354% | +212% | +45% | -98% | -58% | 2021-09-01 |
| 99 |  Axie Infinity AXS | -99% | -68% | +198% | -48% | -48% | -99% | -73% | 2021-09-01 |
| 100 |  DoubleZero 2Z | -92% | -13% | -54% | -30% | +0% | -92% | -32% | 2025-10-02 |
Aviso legal: o CryptoPriceSignal publica leituras técnicas automatizadas e baseadas em regras apenas para fins informativos e educativos. Nada neste site constitui aconselhamento financeiro, de investimento ou de negociação. As criptomoedas são muito voláteis; o desempenho passado de qualquer indicador não garante resultados futuros. Faça sempre a sua própria análise e nunca invista mais do que pode perder. Os sinais são recalculados uma vez por dia a partir da última vela diária concluída (dados referentes ao fecho UTC de 2026-09-18).