Backtest av kryptosignaler – regelutfall per mynt
Simulering med enbart långa positioner för varje regel på dagsdata från Binance mellan 2021-09-01 (eller listningsdatum) och 2026-09-09, 0,1% avgift per sida, exekvering på nästa candle.
| Regel | Medianavkastning | Median för största drawdown | Slog köp och behåll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Köp och behåll | -76% | -94% | – |
| Dag | -8% | -57% | 82 / 97 |
| Vecka | -2% | -66% | 86 / 97 |
| Månad | -1% | -62% | 84 / 97 |
| År | -30% | -68% | 82 / 97 |
Varför trendföljande regler dominerar i krypto
Innan vi valde de här reglerna testade vi femton populära indikatorstrategier på 30 stora mynt över fem år. Mean reversion-ansatser — att köpa RSI under 30 eller det nedre Bollinger-bandet — förlorade pengar sammantaget, eftersom nedtrender i krypto håller i sig långt längre än vad oscillatorer antyder. Enbart MACD och det gyllene korset 50/200 var antingen för långsamma eller för stökiga. De fyra regler som används här (Supertrend med 200-dagarsfilter, Donchian-breakouts 20/10 och 55/20 samt en stigande 200-dagarsregim) slog var för sig köp och behåll på merparten av mynten och halverade ungefär den maximala drawdownen. Deras träffsäkerhet är låg (30–40%%) av design: de tar många små förluster och några få mycket stora vinster.
Varje myntsida visar samma simulering för just den tillgången; nedan finns hela tabellen.
Resultat per mynt
| # | Mynt | Köp och behåll | Dag | Vecka | Månad | År | Max DD B&H | Max DD månad | Sedan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bitcoin BTC | +60% | +113% | +141% | +57% | +100% | -77% | -39% | 2021-09-01 |
| 2 |  Ethereum ETH | -36% | +61% | +15% | +40% | -3% | -79% | -35% | 2021-09-01 |
| 3 |  BNB BNB | +48% | +39% | +62% | +47% | -21% | -70% | -45% | 2021-09-01 |
| 4 |  XRP XRP | +13% | -16% | +168% | +10% | -6% | -78% | -59% | 2021-09-01 |
| 5 |  Solana SOL | -8% | +340% | +777% | +62% | +211% | -96% | -65% | 2021-09-01 |
| 6 |  TRON TRX | +257% | +31% | +12% | +11% | +238% | -60% | -56% | 2021-09-01 |
| 7 |  Zcash ZEC | +720% | +462% | +2,864% | +674% | +422% | -94% | -77% | 2021-09-01 |
| 8 |  Dogecoin DOGE | -71% | +5% | +230% | +100% | -68% | -85% | -58% | 2021-09-01 |
| 9 |  Chainlink LINK | -60% | -1% | -25% | -12% | -58% | -85% | -69% | 2021-09-01 |
| 10 |  Cardano ADA | -93% | -45% | -65% | -19% | -68% | -95% | -71% | 2021-09-01 |
| 11 |  Stellar XLM | -49% | +18% | +99% | +38% | -41% | -83% | -56% | 2021-09-01 |
| 12 |  Bitcoin Cash BCH | -62% | +10% | -48% | +50% | -29% | -89% | -42% | 2021-09-01 |
| 13 |  Litecoin LTC | -71% | -75% | -81% | -78% | -56% | -85% | -83% | 2021-09-01 |
| 14 |  Gram (prev. Toncoin) GRAM | -18% | +0% | -10% | +0% | +0% | -26% | +0% | 2026-07-02 |
| 15 |  Uniswap UNI | -80% | -25% | -37% | -4% | -66% | -92% | -78% | 2021-09-01 |
| 16 |  Avalanche AVAX | -82% | +111% | +104% | +171% | -60% | -96% | -60% | 2021-09-01 |
| 17 |  Hedera HBAR | -71% | +21% | +160% | +70% | -46% | -93% | -65% | 2021-09-01 |
| 18 |  NEAR Protocol NEAR | -55% | +66% | +431% | +41% | -32% | -95% | -77% | 2021-09-01 |
| 19 |  Sui SUI | -45% | +341% | +127% | +137% | +15% | -88% | -62% | 2023-05-03 |
| 20 |  Shiba Inu SHIB | -27% | -15% | +371% | +94% | +30% | -95% | -51% | 2021-09-01 |
| 21 |  Bittensor TAO | -59% | -69% | -31% | -14% | -51% | -80% | -58% | 2024-04-11 |
| 22 |  Aster ASTER | -64% | +6% | -36% | -19% | +5% | -77% | -29% | 2025-10-06 |
| 23 |  Aave AAVE | -70% | -21% | -62% | -40% | -47% | -88% | -76% | 2021-09-01 |
| 24 |  Polkadot DOT | -97% | -15% | -67% | -12% | -58% | -99% | -65% | 2021-09-01 |
| 25 |  World Liberty Financial WLFI | -76% | +0% | -36% | -14% | +0% | -79% | -19% | 2025-09-01 |
| 26 |  Ondo ONDO | -60% | -45% | -18% | -29% | +1% | -80% | -41% | 2025-04-11 |
| 27 |  Pump.fun PUMP | -31% | +74% | +29% | +17% | +1% | -86% | -49% | 2025-09-11 |
| 28 |  Morpho MORPHO | +23% | -21% | +16% | -10% | +5% | -51% | -32% | 2025-10-03 |
| 29 |  Internet Computer ICP | -96% | +11% | -64% | -58% | -44% | -97% | -84% | 2021-09-01 |
| 30 |  Worldcoin WLD | -81% | -5% | +36% | +39% | -73% | -98% | -79% | 2023-07-24 |
| 31 |  Ethena ENA | -80% | +124% | -36% | +94% | -74% | -95% | -53% | 2024-04-02 |
| 32 |  Pepe PEPE | -7% | +136% | +916% | +291% | +6% | -91% | -62% | 2023-05-05 |
| 33 |  Sky SKY | -19% | -15% | 0% | -18% | -34% | -46% | -29% | 2025-09-17 |
| 34 |  BFUSD BFUSD | +0% | -1% | -2% | -1% | -1% | 0% | -1% | 2025-08-13 |
| 35 |  United Stables U | 0% | 0% | -1% | -1% | +0% | 0% | -1% | 2026-01-13 |
| 36 |  Ethereum Classic ETC | -88% | -59% | -32% | +3% | -58% | -92% | -43% | 2021-09-01 |
| 37 |  POL (ex-MATIC) POL | -76% | -17% | +59% | -39% | -23% | -90% | -64% | 2024-09-13 |
| 38 |  Arbitrum ARB | -89% | +60% | -34% | -31% | -45% | -97% | -74% | 2023-03-23 |
| 39 |  Quant QNT | -64% | -35% | -16% | +10% | -86% | -89% | -52% | 2021-09-01 |
| 40 |  Cosmos Hub ATOM | -93% | -43% | -55% | +77% | -43% | -97% | -46% | 2021-09-01 |
| 41 |  Algorand ALGO | -91% | +40% | +57% | +43% | -69% | -97% | -58% | 2021-09-01 |
| 42 |  JUST JST | +35% | -35% | +4% | -57% | +6% | -80% | -75% | 2021-09-01 |
| 43 |  NEXO NEXO | -64% | -2% | +98% | +67% | -11% | -78% | -26% | 2022-04-29 |
| 44 |  Jupiter JUP | -65% | -61% | +7% | -78% | -62% | -92% | -81% | 2024-01-31 |
| 45 |  Render RENDER | -78% | -37% | -25% | -64% | +0% | -88% | -70% | 2024-07-26 |
| 46 |  Dash DASH | -75% | +238% | -22% | -42% | -53% | -93% | -81% | 2021-09-01 |
| 47 |  PancakeSwap CAKE | -91% | -30% | +128% | -5% | -75% | -96% | -59% | 2021-09-01 |
| 48 |  VeChain VET | -95% | +96% | +297% | -12% | -44% | -98% | -64% | 2021-09-01 |
| 49 |  Filecoin FIL | -99% | -53% | -31% | -64% | -57% | -99% | -83% | 2021-09-01 |
| 50 |  Ether.fi ETHFI | -80% | -41% | +21% | -20% | +1% | -96% | -64% | 2024-03-18 |
| 51 |  Injective INJ | -55% | +665% | -26% | +92% | +533% | -95% | -74% | 2021-09-01 |
| 52 |  Official Trump TRUMP | -96% | -34% | -59% | -16% | +0% | -97% | -26% | 2025-01-19 |
| 54 |  Aptos APT | -91% | +14% | -40% | +20% | -48% | -97% | -76% | 2022-10-19 |
| 55 |  Curve DAO CRV | -85% | +157% | +452% | -9% | -84% | -97% | -73% | 2021-09-01 |
| 56 |  Stacks STX | -82% | +268% | +132% | +94% | -42% | -97% | -70% | 2021-09-01 |
| 57 |  Pudgy Penguins PENGU | -73% | +50% | +144% | +89% | -47% | -91% | -47% | 2024-12-17 |
| 58 |  Falcon Finance FF | -46% | +70% | -24% | -11% | +47% | -79% | -56% | 2025-09-29 |
| 59 |  币安人生 (BinanceLife) 币安人生 | +236% | -8% | +389% | +438% | -1% | -85% | -32% | 2026-01-07 |
| 60 |  Virtuals Protocol VIRTUAL | +25% | -54% | -22% | -44% | -3% | -79% | -54% | 2025-04-11 |
| 61 |  Pyth Network PYTH | -89% | -43% | -69% | -83% | -34% | -97% | -85% | 2024-02-02 |
| 62 |  Artificial Superintelligence Alliance FET | -76% | +579% | +547% | +409% | +198% | -96% | -69% | 2021-09-01 |
| 63 |  Midnight NIGHT | -52% | +0% | -26% | +0% | +0% | -67% | +0% | 2026-03-11 |
| 64 |  LayerZero ZRO | -69% | -58% | -70% | -61% | -3% | -90% | -72% | 2024-06-20 |
| 65 |  Celestia TIA | -83% | -43% | -85% | -46% | +0% | -99% | -58% | 2023-10-31 |
| 66 |  Raydium RAY | -89% | +1,134% | +3,443% | +670% | +200% | -99% | -74% | 2021-09-01 |
| 67 |  Pendle PENDLE | +135% | -46% | +104% | +211% | -25% | -85% | -47% | 2023-07-03 |
| 68 |  Sun Token SUN | -48% | +99% | +110% | -10% | +40% | -88% | -58% | 2021-09-01 |
| 69 |  Sei SEI | -74% | -62% | +76% | +104% | -77% | -96% | -67% | 2023-08-15 |
| 70 |  Lido DAO LDO | -81% | -48% | -34% | +54% | -52% | -94% | -64% | 2022-05-09 |
| 71 |  Gnosis GNO | -61% | -47% | +76% | -1% | -7% | -86% | -66% | 2021-09-01 |
| 72 |  Decred DCR | -91% | -55% | -67% | -80% | -76% | -95% | -88% | 2021-09-01 |
| 73 |  Tezos XTZ | -95% | -42% | -68% | +2% | -44% | -98% | -45% | 2021-09-01 |
| 74 |  Terra Luna Classic LUNC | -88% | +101% | -5% | +38% | -79% | -94% | -76% | 2022-09-09 |
| 75 |  Kite KITE | +47% | -26% | +121% | +56% | -8% | -70% | -39% | 2025-11-03 |
| 76 |  Conflux CFX | -84% | +201% | -2% | +196% | -16% | -97% | -78% | 2021-09-01 |
| 77 |  Bonk BONK | -88% | -27% | +213% | +0% | -61% | -96% | -56% | 2023-12-15 |
| 78 |  Maple Finance SYRUP | -3% | -4% | -66% | -35% | +0% | -81% | -47% | 2025-05-06 |
| 79 |  Plasma XPL | -93% | -36% | -65% | -40% | +0% | -96% | -45% | 2025-09-25 |
| 80 |  Ethereum Name Service ENS | -92% | -36% | +34% | -39% | -48% | -95% | -66% | 2021-11-10 |
| 81 |  Trust Wallet TWT | -46% | -1% | +10% | +62% | -70% | -87% | -56% | 2021-09-01 |
| 82 |  FLOKI FLOKI | -48% | +74% | +651% | +96% | +40% | -94% | -78% | 2023-05-05 |
| 83 |  Optimism OP | -92% | +87% | -47% | +34% | +50% | -98% | -72% | 2022-06-01 |
| 84 |  Starknet STRK | -98% | -47% | -70% | -78% | -36% | -99% | -81% | 2024-02-20 |
| 85 |  Jito JTO | -82% | -75% | -80% | +50% | -71% | -95% | -59% | 2023-12-07 |
| 86 |  The Graph GRT | -98% | +63% | +268% | -21% | -34% | -99% | -60% | 2021-09-01 |
| 87 |  Artificial Inu AI | -99% | -49% | -72% | -67% | -30% | -99% | -78% | 2024-01-04 |
| 88 |  dogwifhat WIF | -87% | -41% | -66% | -18% | -36% | -97% | -55% | 2024-03-05 |
| 89 |  JasmyCoin JASMY | -98% | +7% | +396% | -5% | +37% | -99% | -82% | 2021-11-22 |
| 90 |  Compound COMP | -96% | -10% | -66% | -34% | -75% | -97% | -64% | 2021-09-01 |
| 91 |  Convex Finance CVX | -95% | -49% | +172% | -37% | -79% | -98% | -70% | 2021-12-23 |
| 92 |  Kaia KAIA | -79% | -23% | -55% | -62% | -4% | -94% | -72% | 2024-10-31 |
| 93 |  IOTA IOTA | -96% | -16% | -46% | +2% | -72% | -98% | -65% | 2021-09-01 |
| 94 |  EigenCloud (prev. EigenLayer) EIGEN | -95% | -59% | -76% | -69% | -37% | -97% | -79% | 2024-10-01 |
| 95 |  Arweave AR | -95% | -16% | -26% | -56% | +190% | -98% | -86% | 2021-09-01 |
| 96 |  Theta Network THETA | -98% | -22% | +58% | -26% | -23% | -99% | -63% | 2021-09-01 |
| 97 |  MultiversX EGLD | -97% | +51% | +74% | +25% | -49% | -99% | -62% | 2021-09-01 |
| 98 |  DoubleZero 2Z | -92% | -13% | -54% | -30% | +0% | -92% | -32% | 2025-10-02 |
Ansvarsfriskrivning: CryptoPriceSignal publicerar automatiserade, regelbaserade tekniska avläsningar enbart i informations- och utbildningssyfte. Ingenting på den här webbplatsen utgör finansiell rådgivning, investeringsrådgivning eller handelsrekommendationer. Kryptovalutor är mycket volatila; en indikators historiska utfall är ingen garanti för framtida resultat. Gör alltid din egen analys och investera aldrig mer än du har råd att förlora. Signalerna räknas om en gång per dygn utifrån den senast avslutade dagscandlen (data per stängning 2026-09-09 UTC).