Backtest des signaux crypto – performance des règles par coin
Simulation à l'achat uniquement de chaque règle sur les données quotidiennes Binance, du 2021-09-01 (ou de la date de cotation) au 2026-09-18, 0,1% de frais par sens, exécution sur la bougie suivante.
| Règle | Rendement médian | Drawdown maximal médian | Bat l'achat&conservation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Achat & conservation | -73% | -94% | – |
| Quotidien | -8% | -58% | 82 / 100 |
| Hebdomadaire | -1% | -65% | 87 / 100 |
| Mensuel | +0% | -63% | 84 / 100 |
| Annuel | -19% | -68% | 82 / 100 |
Pourquoi les règles de suivi de tendance dominent dans la crypto
Avant de retenir ces règles, nous avons testé quinze stratégies d'indicateurs répandues sur 30 coins de grande capitalisation pendant cinq ans. Les approches de retour à la moyenne — acheter un RSI sous 30, acheter la bande de Bollinger inférieure — ont globalement perdu de l'argent, car les tendances baissières du marché crypto durent bien plus longtemps que ne le suggèrent les oscillateurs. Le MACD seul et le croisement doré 50/200 étaient soit trop lents, soit trop bruités. Les quatre règles employées sur ce site (Supertrend avec filtre à 200 jours, cassures Donchian 20/10 et 55/20, et régime de moyenne à 200 jours haussière) ont chacune battu l'achat-conservation sur la majorité des coins tout en réduisant de près de moitié le drawdown maximal. Leur taux de réussite est faible (30–40%%) par construction : elles encaissent de nombreuses petites pertes et captent quelques très gros gains.
Chaque page de coin présente la même simulation pour l'actif concerné ; le tableau complet figure ci-dessous.
Résultats par coin
| # | Coin | Achat & conservation | Quotidien | Hebdomadaire | Mensuel | Annuel | DD max achat&conservation | DD max mensuel | Depuis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bitcoin BTC | +66% | +120% | +136% | +54% | +107% | -77% | -39% | 2021-09-01 |
| 2 |  Ethereum ETH | -32% | +70% | +10% | +48% | +3% | -79% | -35% | 2021-09-01 |
| 3 |  BNB BNB | +56% | +46% | +71% | +55% | -16% | -70% | -45% | 2021-09-01 |
| 4 |  XRP XRP | +13% | -16% | +168% | +5% | -6% | -78% | -59% | 2021-09-01 |
| 5 |  Solana SOL | +2% | +388% | +751% | +55% | +246% | -96% | -65% | 2021-09-01 |
| 6 |  TRON TRX | +256% | +30% | +12% | +11% | +237% | -60% | -56% | 2021-09-01 |
| 7 |  Zcash ZEC | +930% | +606% | +3,621% | +872% | +555% | -94% | -77% | 2021-09-01 |
| 8 |  Dogecoin DOGE | -70% | +5% | +230% | +85% | -68% | -85% | -58% | 2021-09-01 |
| 9 |  Chainlink LINK | -59% | -9% | -29% | -19% | -57% | -85% | -69% | 2021-09-01 |
| 10 |  Cardano ADA | -92% | -45% | -65% | -14% | -68% | -95% | -71% | 2021-09-01 |
| 11 |  Stellar XLM | -45% | +23% | +99% | +38% | -38% | -83% | -56% | 2021-09-01 |
| 12 |  Uniswap UNI | -72% | +8% | -9% | +38% | -51% | -92% | -78% | 2021-09-01 |
| 13 |  Bitcoin Cash BCH | -61% | +10% | -54% | +33% | -29% | -89% | -42% | 2021-09-01 |
| 14 |  NEAR Protocol NEAR | -32% | +151% | +705% | +114% | +3% | -95% | -77% | 2021-09-01 |
| 15 |  Litecoin LTC | -68% | -73% | -82% | -75% | -56% | -85% | -83% | 2021-09-01 |
| 16 |  Avalanche AVAX | -81% | +111% | +91% | +186% | -60% | -96% | -60% | 2021-09-01 |
| 17 |  Gram (prev. Toncoin) GRAM | -18% | +0% | -10% | +0% | +0% | -26% | +0% | 2026-07-02 |
| 18 |  Hedera HBAR | -70% | +21% | +153% | +76% | -46% | -93% | -65% | 2021-09-01 |
| 19 |  Sui SUI | -42% | +341% | +127% | +115% | +15% | -88% | -63% | 2023-05-03 |
| 20 |  Shiba Inu SHIB | -24% | -15% | +351% | +83% | +30% | -95% | -52% | 2021-09-01 |
| 21 |  Bittensor TAO | -60% | -71% | -41% | -15% | -55% | -80% | -58% | 2024-04-11 |
| 22 |  Aave AAVE | -66% | -13% | -63% | -42% | -41% | -88% | -76% | 2021-09-01 |
| 23 |  Ondo ONDO | -55% | -39% | -18% | -29% | +12% | -80% | -41% | 2025-04-11 |
| 24 |  Aster ASTER | -63% | +11% | -41% | -25% | +10% | -77% | -29% | 2025-10-06 |
| 25 |  Ethena ENA | -78% | +148% | -40% | +79% | -71% | -95% | -53% | 2024-04-02 |
| 26 |  Pump.fun PUMP | -28% | +47% | +29% | +5% | +4% | -86% | -49% | 2025-09-11 |
| 27 |  Polkadot DOT | -97% | -17% | -67% | -11% | -58% | -99% | -65% | 2021-09-01 |
| 28 |  World Liberty Financial WLFI | -75% | +0% | -35% | -16% | +0% | -79% | -20% | 2025-09-01 |
| 29 |  Morpho MORPHO | +33% | -15% | +16% | -12% | +13% | -51% | -33% | 2025-10-03 |
| 30 |  Pepe PEPE | +2% | +153% | +845% | +264% | +6% | -91% | -62% | 2023-05-05 |
| 31 |  Internet Computer ICP | -96% | +14% | -68% | -57% | -43% | -97% | -84% | 2021-09-01 |
| 32 |  Sky SKY | -10% | -15% | 0% | -22% | -34% | -46% | -32% | 2025-09-17 |
| 33 |  Worldcoin WLD | -80% | -17% | +24% | +43% | -73% | -98% | -79% | 2023-07-24 |
| 34 |  Arbitrum ARB | -83% | +42% | -2% | +2% | -19% | -97% | -74% | 2023-03-23 |
| 35 |  United Stables U | +0% | 0% | -1% | -1% | +0% | 0% | -1% | 2026-01-13 |
| 36 |  Ethereum Classic ETC | -88% | -61% | -37% | +5% | -58% | -92% | -43% | 2021-09-01 |
| 37 |  BFUSD BFUSD | +0% | -1% | -2% | -1% | -1% | 0% | -1% | 2025-08-13 |
| 38 |  POL (ex-MATIC) POL | -74% | -17% | +59% | -33% | -23% | -90% | -64% | 2024-09-13 |
| 39 |  JUST JST | +44% | -30% | +12% | -54% | +13% | -80% | -75% | 2021-09-01 |
| 40 |  Quant QNT | -66% | -35% | -21% | +4% | -86% | -89% | -52% | 2021-09-01 |
| 41 |  Jupiter JUP | -60% | -55% | -1% | -75% | -57% | -92% | -83% | 2024-01-31 |
| 42 |  Cosmos Hub ATOM | -93% | -50% | -63% | +64% | -43% | -97% | -49% | 2021-09-01 |
| 43 |  Algorand ALGO | -92% | +29% | +41% | +41% | -69% | -97% | -58% | 2021-09-01 |
| 44 |  Filecoin FIL | -99% | -60% | -20% | -59% | -57% | -99% | -83% | 2021-09-01 |
| 45 |  NEXO NEXO | -64% | -3% | +96% | +64% | -12% | -78% | -26% | 2022-04-29 |
| 46 |  PancakeSwap CAKE | -90% | -24% | +146% | +2% | -74% | -96% | -59% | 2021-09-01 |
| 47 |  Render RENDER | -77% | -37% | -28% | -66% | +0% | -88% | -72% | 2024-07-26 |
| 48 |  Injective INJ | -51% | +733% | -19% | +109% | +589% | -95% | -74% | 2021-09-01 |
| 49 |  Dash DASH | -73% | +191% | -33% | -37% | -49% | -93% | -81% | 2021-09-01 |
| 50 |  VeChain VET | -94% | +107% | +318% | -7% | -44% | -98% | -64% | 2021-09-01 |
| 51 |  Ether.fi ETHFI | -77% | -31% | +42% | -6% | +18% | -96% | -64% | 2024-03-18 |
| 52 |  Aerodrome Finance AERO | +37% | +0% | -8% | +0% | +0% | -15% | +0% | 2026-07-17 |
| 53 |  Aptos APT | -90% | +14% | -40% | +20% | -48% | -97% | -76% | 2022-10-19 |
| 54 |  Official Trump TRUMP | -96% | -34% | -59% | -20% | +0% | -97% | -30% | 2025-01-19 |
| 55 |  Stacks STX | -81% | +281% | +114% | +101% | -39% | -97% | -70% | 2021-09-01 |
| 56 |  Curve DAO CRV | -85% | +148% | +421% | -12% | -84% | -97% | -73% | 2021-09-01 |
| 57 |  Pudgy Penguins PENGU | -72% | +43% | +144% | +80% | -50% | -91% | -47% | 2024-12-17 |
| 58 |  币安人生 (BinanceLife) 币安人生 | +257% | -8% | +369% | +438% | +6% | -85% | -32% | 2026-01-07 |
| 59 |  Pyth Network PYTH | -87% | -34% | -70% | -80% | -24% | -97% | -85% | 2024-02-02 |
| 60 |  Pendle PENDLE | +203% | -31% | +163% | +302% | -3% | -85% | -47% | 2023-07-03 |
| 61 |  Raydium RAY | -85% | +1,647% | +4,916% | +990% | +324% | -99% | -74% | 2021-09-01 |
| 62 |  Virtuals Protocol VIRTUAL | +25% | -54% | -22% | -47% | -3% | -79% | -56% | 2025-04-11 |
| 63 |  Artificial Superintelligence Alliance FET | -74% | +579% | +474% | +456% | +198% | -96% | -72% | 2021-09-01 |
| 64 |  Midnight NIGHT | -50% | +0% | -36% | +0% | +0% | -67% | +0% | 2026-03-11 |
| 65 |  Celestia TIA | -82% | -48% | -87% | -43% | -7% | -99% | -64% | 2023-10-31 |
| 66 |  Tezos XTZ | -95% | -42% | -64% | +14% | -44% | -98% | -45% | 2021-09-01 |
| 67 |  LayerZero ZRO | -67% | -58% | -70% | -64% | -3% | -90% | -72% | 2024-06-20 |
| 68 |  Falcon Finance FF | -55% | +43% | -36% | -25% | +24% | -79% | -56% | 2025-09-29 |
| 69 |  Lido DAO LDO | -80% | -45% | -36% | +39% | -50% | -94% | -66% | 2022-05-09 |
| 70 |  Sei SEI | -73% | -62% | +65% | +81% | -77% | -96% | -71% | 2023-08-15 |
| 71 |  Sun Token SUN | -48% | +99% | +110% | -10% | +40% | -88% | -58% | 2021-09-01 |
| 72 |  Decred DCR | -90% | -53% | -70% | -78% | -76% | -95% | -88% | 2021-09-01 |
| 73 |  Gnosis GNO | -60% | -48% | +76% | -3% | -7% | -86% | -67% | 2021-09-01 |
| 74 |  Starknet STRK | -98% | -47% | -74% | -69% | -36% | -99% | -83% | 2024-02-20 |
| 75 |  Terra Luna Classic LUNC | -88% | +101% | -5% | +38% | -79% | -94% | -76% | 2022-09-09 |
| 76 |  Artificial Inu AI | -99% | -49% | -72% | -67% | -30% | -99% | -78% | 2024-01-04 |
| 77 |  Optimism OP | -90% | +87% | -47% | +63% | +50% | -98% | -72% | 2022-06-01 |
| 78 |  Arweave AR | -94% | +11% | -33% | -42% | +282% | -98% | -86% | 2021-09-01 |
| 79 |  Kite KITE | +44% | -26% | +121% | +47% | -8% | -70% | -42% | 2025-11-03 |
| 80 |  Bonk BONK | -87% | -27% | +185% | +0% | -61% | -96% | -56% | 2023-12-15 |
| 81 |  Ethereum Name Service ENS | -92% | -33% | +23% | -44% | -48% | -95% | -66% | 2021-11-10 |
| 82 |  Conflux CFX | -84% | +201% | -2% | +203% | -16% | -97% | -78% | 2021-09-01 |
| 83 |  Maple Finance SYRUP | 0% | -1% | -67% | -33% | +0% | -81% | -47% | 2025-05-06 |
| 84 |  FLOKI FLOKI | -46% | +74% | +615% | +87% | +40% | -94% | -79% | 2023-05-05 |
| 85 |  Plasma XPL | -93% | -36% | -65% | -40% | +0% | -96% | -45% | 2025-09-25 |
| 86 |  Jito JTO | -81% | -75% | -80% | +50% | -71% | -95% | -59% | 2023-12-07 |
| 87 |  Trust Wallet TWT | -48% | -13% | +4% | +55% | -70% | -87% | -56% | 2021-09-01 |
| 88 |  Zama ZAMA | +70% | +5% | +14% | +60% | +20% | -49% | -29% | 2026-02-02 |
| 89 |  The Graph GRT | -98% | +63% | +238% | -14% | -34% | -99% | -60% | 2021-09-01 |
| 90 |  Theta Network THETA | -97% | -18% | +87% | -12% | -23% | -99% | -63% | 2021-09-01 |
| 91 |  IOTA IOTA | -96% | -16% | -52% | -7% | -72% | -98% | -66% | 2021-09-01 |
| 92 |  EigenCloud (prev. EigenLayer) EIGEN | -94% | -56% | -76% | -69% | -34% | -97% | -79% | 2024-10-01 |
| 93 |  Compound COMP | -96% | -8% | -67% | -30% | -75% | -97% | -64% | 2021-09-01 |
| 94 |  dogwifhat WIF | -86% | -39% | -68% | -25% | -36% | -97% | -56% | 2024-03-05 |
| 95 |  JasmyCoin JASMY | -98% | +7% | +396% | -7% | +37% | -99% | -83% | 2021-11-22 |
| 96 |  Kaia KAIA | -79% | -23% | -58% | -62% | -4% | -94% | -72% | 2024-10-31 |
| 97 |  Convex Finance CVX | -96% | -53% | +171% | -42% | -81% | -98% | -70% | 2021-12-23 |
| 98 |  THORChain RUNE | -95% | -5% | +354% | +212% | +45% | -98% | -58% | 2021-09-01 |
| 99 |  Axie Infinity AXS | -99% | -68% | +198% | -48% | -48% | -99% | -73% | 2021-09-01 |
| 100 |  DoubleZero 2Z | -92% | -13% | -54% | -30% | +0% | -92% | -32% | 2025-10-02 |
Avertissement : CryptoPriceSignal publie des lectures techniques automatisées et fondées sur des règles, à des fins d'information et de pédagogie uniquement. Rien sur ce site ne constitue un conseil financier, en investissement ou en trading. Les cryptomonnaies sont très volatiles ; les performances passées d'un indicateur ne garantissent pas les résultats futurs. Faites toujours vos propres recherches et n'investissez jamais plus que ce que vous pouvez perdre. Les signaux sont recalculés une fois par jour à partir de la dernière bougie quotidienne close (données à la clôture du 2026-09-18 UTC).