Backtest des signaux crypto – performance des règles par coin
Simulation à l'achat uniquement de chaque règle sur les données quotidiennes Binance, du 2021-09-01 (ou de la date de cotation) au 2026-09-09, 0,1% de frais par sens, exécution sur la bougie suivante.
| Règle | Rendement médian | Drawdown maximal médian | Bat l'achat&conservation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Achat & conservation | -76% | -94% | – |
| Quotidien | -8% | -57% | 82 / 97 |
| Hebdomadaire | -2% | -66% | 86 / 97 |
| Mensuel | -1% | -62% | 84 / 97 |
| Annuel | -30% | -68% | 82 / 97 |
Pourquoi les règles de suivi de tendance dominent dans la crypto
Avant de retenir ces règles, nous avons testé quinze stratégies d'indicateurs répandues sur 30 coins de grande capitalisation pendant cinq ans. Les approches de retour à la moyenne — acheter un RSI sous 30, acheter la bande de Bollinger inférieure — ont globalement perdu de l'argent, car les tendances baissières du marché crypto durent bien plus longtemps que ne le suggèrent les oscillateurs. Le MACD seul et le croisement doré 50/200 étaient soit trop lents, soit trop bruités. Les quatre règles employées sur ce site (Supertrend avec filtre à 200 jours, cassures Donchian 20/10 et 55/20, et régime de moyenne à 200 jours haussière) ont chacune battu l'achat-conservation sur la majorité des coins tout en réduisant de près de moitié le drawdown maximal. Leur taux de réussite est faible (30–40%%) par construction : elles encaissent de nombreuses petites pertes et captent quelques très gros gains.
Chaque page de coin présente la même simulation pour l'actif concerné ; le tableau complet figure ci-dessous.
Résultats par coin
| # | Coin | Achat & conservation | Quotidien | Hebdomadaire | Mensuel | Annuel | DD max achat&conservation | DD max mensuel | Depuis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bitcoin BTC | +60% | +113% | +141% | +57% | +100% | -77% | -39% | 2021-09-01 |
| 2 |  Ethereum ETH | -36% | +61% | +15% | +40% | -3% | -79% | -35% | 2021-09-01 |
| 3 |  BNB BNB | +48% | +39% | +62% | +47% | -21% | -70% | -45% | 2021-09-01 |
| 4 |  XRP XRP | +13% | -16% | +168% | +10% | -6% | -78% | -59% | 2021-09-01 |
| 5 |  Solana SOL | -8% | +340% | +777% | +62% | +211% | -96% | -65% | 2021-09-01 |
| 6 |  TRON TRX | +257% | +31% | +12% | +11% | +238% | -60% | -56% | 2021-09-01 |
| 7 |  Zcash ZEC | +720% | +462% | +2,864% | +674% | +422% | -94% | -77% | 2021-09-01 |
| 8 |  Dogecoin DOGE | -71% | +5% | +230% | +100% | -68% | -85% | -58% | 2021-09-01 |
| 9 |  Chainlink LINK | -60% | -1% | -25% | -12% | -58% | -85% | -69% | 2021-09-01 |
| 10 |  Cardano ADA | -93% | -45% | -65% | -19% | -68% | -95% | -71% | 2021-09-01 |
| 11 |  Stellar XLM | -49% | +18% | +99% | +38% | -41% | -83% | -56% | 2021-09-01 |
| 12 |  Bitcoin Cash BCH | -62% | +10% | -48% | +50% | -29% | -89% | -42% | 2021-09-01 |
| 13 |  Litecoin LTC | -71% | -75% | -81% | -78% | -56% | -85% | -83% | 2021-09-01 |
| 14 |  Gram (prev. Toncoin) GRAM | -18% | +0% | -10% | +0% | +0% | -26% | +0% | 2026-07-02 |
| 15 |  Uniswap UNI | -80% | -25% | -37% | -4% | -66% | -92% | -78% | 2021-09-01 |
| 16 |  Avalanche AVAX | -82% | +111% | +104% | +171% | -60% | -96% | -60% | 2021-09-01 |
| 17 |  Hedera HBAR | -71% | +21% | +160% | +70% | -46% | -93% | -65% | 2021-09-01 |
| 18 |  NEAR Protocol NEAR | -55% | +66% | +431% | +41% | -32% | -95% | -77% | 2021-09-01 |
| 19 |  Sui SUI | -45% | +341% | +127% | +137% | +15% | -88% | -62% | 2023-05-03 |
| 20 |  Shiba Inu SHIB | -27% | -15% | +371% | +94% | +30% | -95% | -51% | 2021-09-01 |
| 21 |  Bittensor TAO | -59% | -69% | -31% | -14% | -51% | -80% | -58% | 2024-04-11 |
| 22 |  Aster ASTER | -64% | +6% | -36% | -19% | +5% | -77% | -29% | 2025-10-06 |
| 23 |  Aave AAVE | -70% | -21% | -62% | -40% | -47% | -88% | -76% | 2021-09-01 |
| 24 |  Polkadot DOT | -97% | -15% | -67% | -12% | -58% | -99% | -65% | 2021-09-01 |
| 25 |  World Liberty Financial WLFI | -76% | +0% | -36% | -14% | +0% | -79% | -19% | 2025-09-01 |
| 26 |  Ondo ONDO | -60% | -45% | -18% | -29% | +1% | -80% | -41% | 2025-04-11 |
| 27 |  Pump.fun PUMP | -31% | +74% | +29% | +17% | +1% | -86% | -49% | 2025-09-11 |
| 28 |  Morpho MORPHO | +23% | -21% | +16% | -10% | +5% | -51% | -32% | 2025-10-03 |
| 29 |  Internet Computer ICP | -96% | +11% | -64% | -58% | -44% | -97% | -84% | 2021-09-01 |
| 30 |  Worldcoin WLD | -81% | -5% | +36% | +39% | -73% | -98% | -79% | 2023-07-24 |
| 31 |  Ethena ENA | -80% | +124% | -36% | +94% | -74% | -95% | -53% | 2024-04-02 |
| 32 |  Pepe PEPE | -7% | +136% | +916% | +291% | +6% | -91% | -62% | 2023-05-05 |
| 33 |  Sky SKY | -19% | -15% | 0% | -18% | -34% | -46% | -29% | 2025-09-17 |
| 34 |  BFUSD BFUSD | +0% | -1% | -2% | -1% | -1% | 0% | -1% | 2025-08-13 |
| 35 |  United Stables U | 0% | 0% | -1% | -1% | +0% | 0% | -1% | 2026-01-13 |
| 36 |  Ethereum Classic ETC | -88% | -59% | -32% | +3% | -58% | -92% | -43% | 2021-09-01 |
| 37 |  POL (ex-MATIC) POL | -76% | -17% | +59% | -39% | -23% | -90% | -64% | 2024-09-13 |
| 38 |  Arbitrum ARB | -89% | +60% | -34% | -31% | -45% | -97% | -74% | 2023-03-23 |
| 39 |  Quant QNT | -64% | -35% | -16% | +10% | -86% | -89% | -52% | 2021-09-01 |
| 40 |  Cosmos Hub ATOM | -93% | -43% | -55% | +77% | -43% | -97% | -46% | 2021-09-01 |
| 41 |  Algorand ALGO | -91% | +40% | +57% | +43% | -69% | -97% | -58% | 2021-09-01 |
| 42 |  JUST JST | +35% | -35% | +4% | -57% | +6% | -80% | -75% | 2021-09-01 |
| 43 |  NEXO NEXO | -64% | -2% | +98% | +67% | -11% | -78% | -26% | 2022-04-29 |
| 44 |  Jupiter JUP | -65% | -61% | +7% | -78% | -62% | -92% | -81% | 2024-01-31 |
| 45 |  Render RENDER | -78% | -37% | -25% | -64% | +0% | -88% | -70% | 2024-07-26 |
| 46 |  Dash DASH | -75% | +238% | -22% | -42% | -53% | -93% | -81% | 2021-09-01 |
| 47 |  PancakeSwap CAKE | -91% | -30% | +128% | -5% | -75% | -96% | -59% | 2021-09-01 |
| 48 |  VeChain VET | -95% | +96% | +297% | -12% | -44% | -98% | -64% | 2021-09-01 |
| 49 |  Filecoin FIL | -99% | -53% | -31% | -64% | -57% | -99% | -83% | 2021-09-01 |
| 50 |  Ether.fi ETHFI | -80% | -41% | +21% | -20% | +1% | -96% | -64% | 2024-03-18 |
| 51 |  Injective INJ | -55% | +665% | -26% | +92% | +533% | -95% | -74% | 2021-09-01 |
| 52 |  Official Trump TRUMP | -96% | -34% | -59% | -16% | +0% | -97% | -26% | 2025-01-19 |
| 54 |  Aptos APT | -91% | +14% | -40% | +20% | -48% | -97% | -76% | 2022-10-19 |
| 55 |  Curve DAO CRV | -85% | +157% | +452% | -9% | -84% | -97% | -73% | 2021-09-01 |
| 56 |  Stacks STX | -82% | +268% | +132% | +94% | -42% | -97% | -70% | 2021-09-01 |
| 57 |  Pudgy Penguins PENGU | -73% | +50% | +144% | +89% | -47% | -91% | -47% | 2024-12-17 |
| 58 |  Falcon Finance FF | -46% | +70% | -24% | -11% | +47% | -79% | -56% | 2025-09-29 |
| 59 |  币安人生 (BinanceLife) 币安人生 | +236% | -8% | +389% | +438% | -1% | -85% | -32% | 2026-01-07 |
| 60 |  Virtuals Protocol VIRTUAL | +25% | -54% | -22% | -44% | -3% | -79% | -54% | 2025-04-11 |
| 61 |  Pyth Network PYTH | -89% | -43% | -69% | -83% | -34% | -97% | -85% | 2024-02-02 |
| 62 |  Artificial Superintelligence Alliance FET | -76% | +579% | +547% | +409% | +198% | -96% | -69% | 2021-09-01 |
| 63 |  Midnight NIGHT | -52% | +0% | -26% | +0% | +0% | -67% | +0% | 2026-03-11 |
| 64 |  LayerZero ZRO | -69% | -58% | -70% | -61% | -3% | -90% | -72% | 2024-06-20 |
| 65 |  Celestia TIA | -83% | -43% | -85% | -46% | +0% | -99% | -58% | 2023-10-31 |
| 66 |  Raydium RAY | -89% | +1,134% | +3,443% | +670% | +200% | -99% | -74% | 2021-09-01 |
| 67 |  Pendle PENDLE | +135% | -46% | +104% | +211% | -25% | -85% | -47% | 2023-07-03 |
| 68 |  Sun Token SUN | -48% | +99% | +110% | -10% | +40% | -88% | -58% | 2021-09-01 |
| 69 |  Sei SEI | -74% | -62% | +76% | +104% | -77% | -96% | -67% | 2023-08-15 |
| 70 |  Lido DAO LDO | -81% | -48% | -34% | +54% | -52% | -94% | -64% | 2022-05-09 |
| 71 |  Gnosis GNO | -61% | -47% | +76% | -1% | -7% | -86% | -66% | 2021-09-01 |
| 72 |  Decred DCR | -91% | -55% | -67% | -80% | -76% | -95% | -88% | 2021-09-01 |
| 73 |  Tezos XTZ | -95% | -42% | -68% | +2% | -44% | -98% | -45% | 2021-09-01 |
| 74 |  Terra Luna Classic LUNC | -88% | +101% | -5% | +38% | -79% | -94% | -76% | 2022-09-09 |
| 75 |  Kite KITE | +47% | -26% | +121% | +56% | -8% | -70% | -39% | 2025-11-03 |
| 76 |  Conflux CFX | -84% | +201% | -2% | +196% | -16% | -97% | -78% | 2021-09-01 |
| 77 |  Bonk BONK | -88% | -27% | +213% | +0% | -61% | -96% | -56% | 2023-12-15 |
| 78 |  Maple Finance SYRUP | -3% | -4% | -66% | -35% | +0% | -81% | -47% | 2025-05-06 |
| 79 |  Plasma XPL | -93% | -36% | -65% | -40% | +0% | -96% | -45% | 2025-09-25 |
| 80 |  Ethereum Name Service ENS | -92% | -36% | +34% | -39% | -48% | -95% | -66% | 2021-11-10 |
| 81 |  Trust Wallet TWT | -46% | -1% | +10% | +62% | -70% | -87% | -56% | 2021-09-01 |
| 82 |  FLOKI FLOKI | -48% | +74% | +651% | +96% | +40% | -94% | -78% | 2023-05-05 |
| 83 |  Optimism OP | -92% | +87% | -47% | +34% | +50% | -98% | -72% | 2022-06-01 |
| 84 |  Starknet STRK | -98% | -47% | -70% | -78% | -36% | -99% | -81% | 2024-02-20 |
| 85 |  Jito JTO | -82% | -75% | -80% | +50% | -71% | -95% | -59% | 2023-12-07 |
| 86 |  The Graph GRT | -98% | +63% | +268% | -21% | -34% | -99% | -60% | 2021-09-01 |
| 87 |  Artificial Inu AI | -99% | -49% | -72% | -67% | -30% | -99% | -78% | 2024-01-04 |
| 88 |  dogwifhat WIF | -87% | -41% | -66% | -18% | -36% | -97% | -55% | 2024-03-05 |
| 89 |  JasmyCoin JASMY | -98% | +7% | +396% | -5% | +37% | -99% | -82% | 2021-11-22 |
| 90 |  Compound COMP | -96% | -10% | -66% | -34% | -75% | -97% | -64% | 2021-09-01 |
| 91 |  Convex Finance CVX | -95% | -49% | +172% | -37% | -79% | -98% | -70% | 2021-12-23 |
| 92 |  Kaia KAIA | -79% | -23% | -55% | -62% | -4% | -94% | -72% | 2024-10-31 |
| 93 |  IOTA IOTA | -96% | -16% | -46% | +2% | -72% | -98% | -65% | 2021-09-01 |
| 94 |  EigenCloud (prev. EigenLayer) EIGEN | -95% | -59% | -76% | -69% | -37% | -97% | -79% | 2024-10-01 |
| 95 |  Arweave AR | -95% | -16% | -26% | -56% | +190% | -98% | -86% | 2021-09-01 |
| 96 |  Theta Network THETA | -98% | -22% | +58% | -26% | -23% | -99% | -63% | 2021-09-01 |
| 97 |  MultiversX EGLD | -97% | +51% | +74% | +25% | -49% | -99% | -62% | 2021-09-01 |
| 98 |  DoubleZero 2Z | -92% | -13% | -54% | -30% | +0% | -92% | -32% | 2025-10-02 |
Avertissement : CryptoPriceSignal publie des lectures techniques automatisées et fondées sur des règles, à des fins d'information et de pédagogie uniquement. Rien sur ce site ne constitue un conseil financier, en investissement ou en trading. Les cryptomonnaies sont très volatiles ; les performances passées d'un indicateur ne garantissent pas les résultats futurs. Faites toujours vos propres recherches et n'investissez jamais plus que ce que vous pouvez perdre. Les signaux sont recalculés une fois par jour à partir de la dernière bougie quotidienne close (données à la clôture du 2026-09-09 UTC).