اختبار تاريخي لإشارات العملات الرقمية – أداء القواعد لكل عملة
محاكاة شراء فقط لكل قاعدة على بيانات Binance اليومية من 2021-09-01 (أو تاريخ الإدراج) حتى 2026-09-09، برسوم 0.1% لكل جانب وتنفيذ على الشمعة التالية.
| القاعدة | العائد الوسيط | وسيط أقصى تراجع | تفوّق على الشراء والاحتفاظ |
|---|---|---|---|
| الشراء والاحتفاظ | -76% | -94% | – |
| يومي | -8% | -57% | 82 / 97 |
| أسبوعي | -2% | -66% | 86 / 97 |
| شهري | -1% | -62% | 84 / 97 |
| سنوي | -30% | -68% | 82 / 97 |
لماذا تتفوق قواعد تتبع الاتجاه في سوق العملات الرقمية
قبل اختيار هذه القواعد اختبرنا خمس عشرة استراتيجية مؤشرات شائعة على 30 عملة كبيرة على مدى خمس سنوات. خسرت أساليب الارتداد إلى المتوسط — الشراء عند هبوط RSI دون 30، والشراء عند نطاق Bollinger السفلي — أموالاً في المحصلة، لأن الاتجاهات الهابطة في سوق العملات الرقمية تستمر أطول بكثير مما توحي به المذبذبات. أما MACD وحده والتقاطع الذهبي 50/200 فكانا بطيئين أو كثيري الضجيج. القواعد الأربع المستخدمة في هذا الموقع (Supertrend مع مرشّح 200 يوم، واختراقات Donchian 20/10 و55/20، ونظام متوسط 200 يوم الصاعد) تفوّقت كلها على الشراء والاحتفاظ في غالبية العملات مع خفض أقصى تراجع إلى النصف تقريباً. ونسب نجاحها منخفضة (30–40%%) بحكم التصميم: فهي تتكبد خسائر صغيرة كثيرة مقابل مكاسب قليلة كبيرة جداً.
تعرض كل صفحة عملة المحاكاة نفسها لذلك الأصل تحديداً؛ وفي الأسفل الجدول الكامل.
النتائج لكل عملة
| # | العملة | الشراء والاحتفاظ | يومي | أسبوعي | شهري | سنوي | أقصى تراجع للشراء والاحتفاظ | أقصى تراجع شهري | منذ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bitcoin BTC | +60% | +113% | +141% | +57% | +100% | -77% | -39% | 2021-09-01 |
| 2 |  Ethereum ETH | -36% | +61% | +15% | +40% | -3% | -79% | -35% | 2021-09-01 |
| 3 |  BNB BNB | +48% | +39% | +62% | +47% | -21% | -70% | -45% | 2021-09-01 |
| 4 |  XRP XRP | +13% | -16% | +168% | +10% | -6% | -78% | -59% | 2021-09-01 |
| 5 |  Solana SOL | -8% | +340% | +777% | +62% | +211% | -96% | -65% | 2021-09-01 |
| 6 |  TRON TRX | +257% | +31% | +12% | +11% | +238% | -60% | -56% | 2021-09-01 |
| 7 |  Zcash ZEC | +720% | +462% | +2,864% | +674% | +422% | -94% | -77% | 2021-09-01 |
| 8 |  Dogecoin DOGE | -71% | +5% | +230% | +100% | -68% | -85% | -58% | 2021-09-01 |
| 9 |  Chainlink LINK | -60% | -1% | -25% | -12% | -58% | -85% | -69% | 2021-09-01 |
| 10 |  Cardano ADA | -93% | -45% | -65% | -19% | -68% | -95% | -71% | 2021-09-01 |
| 11 |  Stellar XLM | -49% | +18% | +99% | +38% | -41% | -83% | -56% | 2021-09-01 |
| 12 |  Bitcoin Cash BCH | -62% | +10% | -48% | +50% | -29% | -89% | -42% | 2021-09-01 |
| 13 |  Litecoin LTC | -71% | -75% | -81% | -78% | -56% | -85% | -83% | 2021-09-01 |
| 14 |  Gram (prev. Toncoin) GRAM | -18% | +0% | -10% | +0% | +0% | -26% | +0% | 2026-07-02 |
| 15 |  Uniswap UNI | -80% | -25% | -37% | -4% | -66% | -92% | -78% | 2021-09-01 |
| 16 |  Avalanche AVAX | -82% | +111% | +104% | +171% | -60% | -96% | -60% | 2021-09-01 |
| 17 |  Hedera HBAR | -71% | +21% | +160% | +70% | -46% | -93% | -65% | 2021-09-01 |
| 18 |  NEAR Protocol NEAR | -55% | +66% | +431% | +41% | -32% | -95% | -77% | 2021-09-01 |
| 19 |  Sui SUI | -45% | +341% | +127% | +137% | +15% | -88% | -62% | 2023-05-03 |
| 20 |  Shiba Inu SHIB | -27% | -15% | +371% | +94% | +30% | -95% | -51% | 2021-09-01 |
| 21 |  Bittensor TAO | -59% | -69% | -31% | -14% | -51% | -80% | -58% | 2024-04-11 |
| 22 |  Aster ASTER | -64% | +6% | -36% | -19% | +5% | -77% | -29% | 2025-10-06 |
| 23 |  Aave AAVE | -70% | -21% | -62% | -40% | -47% | -88% | -76% | 2021-09-01 |
| 24 |  Polkadot DOT | -97% | -15% | -67% | -12% | -58% | -99% | -65% | 2021-09-01 |
| 25 |  World Liberty Financial WLFI | -76% | +0% | -36% | -14% | +0% | -79% | -19% | 2025-09-01 |
| 26 |  Ondo ONDO | -60% | -45% | -18% | -29% | +1% | -80% | -41% | 2025-04-11 |
| 27 |  Pump.fun PUMP | -31% | +74% | +29% | +17% | +1% | -86% | -49% | 2025-09-11 |
| 28 |  Morpho MORPHO | +23% | -21% | +16% | -10% | +5% | -51% | -32% | 2025-10-03 |
| 29 |  Internet Computer ICP | -96% | +11% | -64% | -58% | -44% | -97% | -84% | 2021-09-01 |
| 30 |  Worldcoin WLD | -81% | -5% | +36% | +39% | -73% | -98% | -79% | 2023-07-24 |
| 31 |  Ethena ENA | -80% | +124% | -36% | +94% | -74% | -95% | -53% | 2024-04-02 |
| 32 |  Pepe PEPE | -7% | +136% | +916% | +291% | +6% | -91% | -62% | 2023-05-05 |
| 33 |  Sky SKY | -19% | -15% | 0% | -18% | -34% | -46% | -29% | 2025-09-17 |
| 34 |  BFUSD BFUSD | +0% | -1% | -2% | -1% | -1% | 0% | -1% | 2025-08-13 |
| 35 |  United Stables U | 0% | 0% | -1% | -1% | +0% | 0% | -1% | 2026-01-13 |
| 36 |  Ethereum Classic ETC | -88% | -59% | -32% | +3% | -58% | -92% | -43% | 2021-09-01 |
| 37 |  POL (ex-MATIC) POL | -76% | -17% | +59% | -39% | -23% | -90% | -64% | 2024-09-13 |
| 38 |  Arbitrum ARB | -89% | +60% | -34% | -31% | -45% | -97% | -74% | 2023-03-23 |
| 39 |  Quant QNT | -64% | -35% | -16% | +10% | -86% | -89% | -52% | 2021-09-01 |
| 40 |  Cosmos Hub ATOM | -93% | -43% | -55% | +77% | -43% | -97% | -46% | 2021-09-01 |
| 41 |  Algorand ALGO | -91% | +40% | +57% | +43% | -69% | -97% | -58% | 2021-09-01 |
| 42 |  JUST JST | +35% | -35% | +4% | -57% | +6% | -80% | -75% | 2021-09-01 |
| 43 |  NEXO NEXO | -64% | -2% | +98% | +67% | -11% | -78% | -26% | 2022-04-29 |
| 44 |  Jupiter JUP | -65% | -61% | +7% | -78% | -62% | -92% | -81% | 2024-01-31 |
| 45 |  Render RENDER | -78% | -37% | -25% | -64% | +0% | -88% | -70% | 2024-07-26 |
| 46 |  Dash DASH | -75% | +238% | -22% | -42% | -53% | -93% | -81% | 2021-09-01 |
| 47 |  PancakeSwap CAKE | -91% | -30% | +128% | -5% | -75% | -96% | -59% | 2021-09-01 |
| 48 |  VeChain VET | -95% | +96% | +297% | -12% | -44% | -98% | -64% | 2021-09-01 |
| 49 |  Filecoin FIL | -99% | -53% | -31% | -64% | -57% | -99% | -83% | 2021-09-01 |
| 50 |  Ether.fi ETHFI | -80% | -41% | +21% | -20% | +1% | -96% | -64% | 2024-03-18 |
| 51 |  Injective INJ | -55% | +665% | -26% | +92% | +533% | -95% | -74% | 2021-09-01 |
| 52 |  Official Trump TRUMP | -96% | -34% | -59% | -16% | +0% | -97% | -26% | 2025-01-19 |
| 54 |  Aptos APT | -91% | +14% | -40% | +20% | -48% | -97% | -76% | 2022-10-19 |
| 55 |  Curve DAO CRV | -85% | +157% | +452% | -9% | -84% | -97% | -73% | 2021-09-01 |
| 56 |  Stacks STX | -82% | +268% | +132% | +94% | -42% | -97% | -70% | 2021-09-01 |
| 57 |  Pudgy Penguins PENGU | -73% | +50% | +144% | +89% | -47% | -91% | -47% | 2024-12-17 |
| 58 |  Falcon Finance FF | -46% | +70% | -24% | -11% | +47% | -79% | -56% | 2025-09-29 |
| 59 |  币安人生 (BinanceLife) 币安人生 | +236% | -8% | +389% | +438% | -1% | -85% | -32% | 2026-01-07 |
| 60 |  Virtuals Protocol VIRTUAL | +25% | -54% | -22% | -44% | -3% | -79% | -54% | 2025-04-11 |
| 61 |  Pyth Network PYTH | -89% | -43% | -69% | -83% | -34% | -97% | -85% | 2024-02-02 |
| 62 |  Artificial Superintelligence Alliance FET | -76% | +579% | +547% | +409% | +198% | -96% | -69% | 2021-09-01 |
| 63 |  Midnight NIGHT | -52% | +0% | -26% | +0% | +0% | -67% | +0% | 2026-03-11 |
| 64 |  LayerZero ZRO | -69% | -58% | -70% | -61% | -3% | -90% | -72% | 2024-06-20 |
| 65 |  Celestia TIA | -83% | -43% | -85% | -46% | +0% | -99% | -58% | 2023-10-31 |
| 66 |  Raydium RAY | -89% | +1,134% | +3,443% | +670% | +200% | -99% | -74% | 2021-09-01 |
| 67 |  Pendle PENDLE | +135% | -46% | +104% | +211% | -25% | -85% | -47% | 2023-07-03 |
| 68 |  Sun Token SUN | -48% | +99% | +110% | -10% | +40% | -88% | -58% | 2021-09-01 |
| 69 |  Sei SEI | -74% | -62% | +76% | +104% | -77% | -96% | -67% | 2023-08-15 |
| 70 |  Lido DAO LDO | -81% | -48% | -34% | +54% | -52% | -94% | -64% | 2022-05-09 |
| 71 |  Gnosis GNO | -61% | -47% | +76% | -1% | -7% | -86% | -66% | 2021-09-01 |
| 72 |  Decred DCR | -91% | -55% | -67% | -80% | -76% | -95% | -88% | 2021-09-01 |
| 73 |  Tezos XTZ | -95% | -42% | -68% | +2% | -44% | -98% | -45% | 2021-09-01 |
| 74 |  Terra Luna Classic LUNC | -88% | +101% | -5% | +38% | -79% | -94% | -76% | 2022-09-09 |
| 75 |  Kite KITE | +47% | -26% | +121% | +56% | -8% | -70% | -39% | 2025-11-03 |
| 76 |  Conflux CFX | -84% | +201% | -2% | +196% | -16% | -97% | -78% | 2021-09-01 |
| 77 |  Bonk BONK | -88% | -27% | +213% | +0% | -61% | -96% | -56% | 2023-12-15 |
| 78 |  Maple Finance SYRUP | -3% | -4% | -66% | -35% | +0% | -81% | -47% | 2025-05-06 |
| 79 |  Plasma XPL | -93% | -36% | -65% | -40% | +0% | -96% | -45% | 2025-09-25 |
| 80 |  Ethereum Name Service ENS | -92% | -36% | +34% | -39% | -48% | -95% | -66% | 2021-11-10 |
| 81 |  Trust Wallet TWT | -46% | -1% | +10% | +62% | -70% | -87% | -56% | 2021-09-01 |
| 82 |  FLOKI FLOKI | -48% | +74% | +651% | +96% | +40% | -94% | -78% | 2023-05-05 |
| 83 |  Optimism OP | -92% | +87% | -47% | +34% | +50% | -98% | -72% | 2022-06-01 |
| 84 |  Starknet STRK | -98% | -47% | -70% | -78% | -36% | -99% | -81% | 2024-02-20 |
| 85 |  Jito JTO | -82% | -75% | -80% | +50% | -71% | -95% | -59% | 2023-12-07 |
| 86 |  The Graph GRT | -98% | +63% | +268% | -21% | -34% | -99% | -60% | 2021-09-01 |
| 87 |  Artificial Inu AI | -99% | -49% | -72% | -67% | -30% | -99% | -78% | 2024-01-04 |
| 88 |  dogwifhat WIF | -87% | -41% | -66% | -18% | -36% | -97% | -55% | 2024-03-05 |
| 89 |  JasmyCoin JASMY | -98% | +7% | +396% | -5% | +37% | -99% | -82% | 2021-11-22 |
| 90 |  Compound COMP | -96% | -10% | -66% | -34% | -75% | -97% | -64% | 2021-09-01 |
| 91 |  Convex Finance CVX | -95% | -49% | +172% | -37% | -79% | -98% | -70% | 2021-12-23 |
| 92 |  Kaia KAIA | -79% | -23% | -55% | -62% | -4% | -94% | -72% | 2024-10-31 |
| 93 |  IOTA IOTA | -96% | -16% | -46% | +2% | -72% | -98% | -65% | 2021-09-01 |
| 94 |  EigenCloud (prev. EigenLayer) EIGEN | -95% | -59% | -76% | -69% | -37% | -97% | -79% | 2024-10-01 |
| 95 |  Arweave AR | -95% | -16% | -26% | -56% | +190% | -98% | -86% | 2021-09-01 |
| 96 |  Theta Network THETA | -98% | -22% | +58% | -26% | -23% | -99% | -63% | 2021-09-01 |
| 97 |  MultiversX EGLD | -97% | +51% | +74% | +25% | -49% | -99% | -62% | 2021-09-01 |
| 98 |  DoubleZero 2Z | -92% | -13% | -54% | -30% | +0% | -92% | -32% | 2025-10-02 |
إخلاء مسؤولية: ينشر CryptoPriceSignal قراءات فنية آلية قائمة على قواعد لأغراض إعلامية وتعليمية فقط. لا شيء في هذا الموقع يُعدّ نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تداولية. العملات الرقمية شديدة التقلب؛ والأداء السابق لأي مؤشر لا يضمن نتائج مستقبلية. ابحث دائماً بنفسك ولا تستثمر أكثر مما تحتمل خسارته. تُعاد الإشارات مرة واحدة يومياً من آخر شمعة يومية مكتملة (البيانات حتى إغلاق 2026-09-09 بتوقيت UTC).