Ondo (ONDO) Price Signal: Buy or Sell?
Rank #23 · $0.3987 +7.1% 24h · Market cap $2.09B · Updated 2026-09-18 UTC close
Ondo price chart with signals
Today's Ondo signal explained
Ondo is currently on a daily BUY signal: the Supertrend (10, 3) indicator flipped bullish 29 days ago and the price ($0.3987) is trading above its 200-day simple moving average ($0.3297). Both the short-term trend and the long-term regime filter agree, which is the only condition under which this system issues a daily buy.
The weekly swing signal is BUY. Ondo broke above its 20-day closing high 1 day ago and has not yet closed below its 10-day low (currently $0.3282). A close under that level would end the swing position.
The monthly position signal is SELL (flat) and has been for 40 days. A new entry requires a daily close above the 55-day high at $0.4160 — a level that historically marked the start of the larger trends in this market.
The yearly regime is ACCUMULATE: price is above a rising 200-day moving average. In the last five years this has been the environment in which most of the sustainable upside in Ondo and in the wider crypto market has occurred.
Momentum check: the 14-day RSI is at 61.0. MACD is above its signal line. ADX at 25.9 indicates a strong trend. Volume is 2.28× its 20-day average — a notable spike. Over the last 7, 30 and 90 days Ondo has moved +13.7%, +14.8% and +16.0% respectively; it trades -61.0% from its 52-week high and +77.1% above its 52-week low.
Bullish checklist (8/10)
- Price above SMA 200✓ Yes
- Price above SMA 50✓ Yes
- EMA 20 above EMA 50✓ Yes
- EMA 50 above EMA 200✗ No
- Supertrend bullish✓ Yes
- MACD above signal line✓ Yes
- RSI above 50✓ Yes
- ADX trend strength above 20 with +DI leading✓ Yes
- Above 20-day breakout level✓ Yes
- Above 55-day breakout level✗ No
Ondo technical indicators (2026-09-18)
| Indicator | Value | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| Price (daily close) | $0.3987 | |
| EMA 9 | $0.3627 | Price above |
| EMA 20 | $0.3598 | Price above |
| EMA 50 | $0.3585 | Price above |
| SMA 50 | $0.3575 | Price above |
| SMA 200 | $0.3297 | Price above |
| Supertrend (10, 3) | $0.3191 | Bullish |
| RSI (14) | 61.0 | Neutral |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 0.001710 / -0.000840 | Bullish crossover |
| ADX (14) / +DI / −DI | 25.9 / 31.1 / 14.1 | Strong trend |
| ATR (14) | $0.0238 | 6.0% daily range |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | $0.3228 – $0.3933 | Above upper band |
| 20-day high / 10-day low | $0.3987 / $0.3282 | Weekly breakout levels |
| 55-day high / 20-day low | $0.4160 / $0.3282 | Monthly breakout levels |
| 52-week high / low | $1.02 / $0.2251 | -61.0% from high |
| Volume vs 20-day avg | 2.28× | Elevated |
How these rules performed on Ondo (2025-04-11 → 2026-09-18)
| Rule | Total return | Max drawdown | Trades | Win rate | Avg trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy & hold | -55% | -80% | 1 | – | – |
| Daily (Supertrend + SMA 200) | -39% | -50% | 3 | 0% | -15.0% |
| Weekly (20/10 breakout) | -18% | -41% | 9 | 33% | -1.0% |
| Monthly (55/20 breakout) | -29% | -41% | 3 | 33% | -10.1% |
| Yearly (rising SMA 200) | +12% | -17% | 0 | – | – |
Long-only simulation on Binance daily closes, 0.1% fee per side, signals executed on the next candle. Trend-following rules typically win less than half of their trades but capture the large moves; this is historical simulation, not a forecast.
Recent Ondo signal changes
| Date | Timeframe | Signal | Price | Since then |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Weekly | BUY | $0.3987 | +0.0% |
| 2026-08-30 | Weekly | SELL | $0.3441 | +15.9% |
| 2026-08-21 | Daily | BUY | $0.3968 | +0.5% |
| 2026-08-21 | Weekly | BUY | $0.3968 | +0.5% |
| 2026-08-12 | Daily | SELL | $0.3305 | +20.6% |
| 2026-08-10 | Monthly | SELL | $0.3400 | +17.3% |
| 2026-08-03 | Weekly | SELL | $0.3719 | +7.2% |
| 2026-07-30 | Monthly | BUY | $0.4160 | -4.2% |
| 2026-07-15 | Daily | BUY | $0.3651 | +9.2% |
| 2026-07-15 | Weekly | BUY | $0.3651 | +9.2% |
| 2026-06-06 | Daily | SELL | $0.3247 | +22.8% |
| 2026-06-06 | Monthly | SELL | $0.3247 | +22.8% |
| 2026-05-29 | Weekly | SELL | $0.3549 | +12.3% |
| 2026-05-18 | Daily | BUY | $0.3862 | +3.2% |
| 2026-05-15 | Daily | SELL | $0.3632 | +9.8% |
About Ondo
Ondo Finance builds tokenized versions of traditional fixed-income products, letting on-chain holders gain exposure to instruments such as short-dated US Treasuries through wrapped, transferable tokens including OUSG and the yield-bearing USDY. The company was founded in 2021 by Nathan Allman and Pinku Surana, both from traditional finance and technology backgrounds, and positions itself in the real-world-asset segment where the collateral sits with regulated custodians off-chain. The ONDO token is a governance asset for the Ondo DAO; it does not itself represent a claim on the underlying Treasuries or on protocol revenue.
Supply mechanics matter more here than for most tokens. ONDO launched into public trading in January 2024 after a CoinList sale, with the large majority of supply locked and released through annual cliff unlocks each January — the January 2025 cliff alone released a quantity larger than the then-circulating float. Traders therefore watch the vesting calendar closely, since cliff structures concentrate supply pressure into single dates rather than spreading it. As an RWA proxy, ONDO tends to react to interest-rate expectations and to regulatory news about tokenized securities, in addition to general altcoin beta.
Background information about the project, provided for context. It is not part of the signal calculation and contains no forecast.
Ondo signal FAQ
Is Ondo a buy or sell today?
As of 2026-09-18 the daily rule-based signal for Ondo (ONDO) is BUY, the weekly signal is BUY, the monthly signal is SELL and the yearly regime is ACCUMULATE. These are automated technical readings, not investment advice.
What is the Ondo RSI right now?
The 14-day RSI for Ondo is 61.0. Readings above 70 are considered overbought and below 30 oversold, although in strong crypto trends RSI can stay elevated for weeks.
Is Ondo above its 200-day moving average?
Yes. Ondo trades +20.9% above its 200-day simple moving average of $0.3297.
How often are Ondo signals updated?
All Ondo signals on this page are recalculated automatically once per day, shortly after the 00:00 UTC daily candle closes on Binance.
What is the Ondo strength score?
The strength score of 80/100 counts how many of ten bullish technical conditions (moving averages, Supertrend, MACD, RSI, ADX and breakout levels) are currently true for Ondo. Higher means more indicators agree on an uptrend.