Stellar (XLM) Price Signal: Buy or Sell?
Rank #11 · $0.1931 +5.3% 24h · Market cap $6.96B · Updated 2026-09-18 UTC close
Stellar price chart with signals
Today's Stellar signal explained
Stellar is currently on a daily BUY signal: the Supertrend (10, 3) indicator flipped bullish 8 days ago and the price ($0.1931) is trading above its 200-day simple moving average ($0.1762). Both the short-term trend and the long-term regime filter agree, which is the only condition under which this system issues a daily buy.
The weekly swing signal is SELL (flat). Stellar would need a daily close above its 20-day high of $0.1937 to trigger a new breakout entry; this rule has been out of the market for 20 days.
The monthly position signal is SELL (flat) and has been for 86 days. A new entry requires a daily close above the 55-day high at $0.2018 — a level that historically marked the start of the larger trends in this market.
The yearly regime is ACCUMULATE: price is above a rising 200-day moving average. In the last five years this has been the environment in which most of the sustainable upside in Stellar and in the wider crypto market has occurred.
Momentum check: the 14-day RSI is at 57.3. MACD is above its signal line. ADX at 26.7 indicates a strong trend. Volume is 1.40× its 20-day average. Over the last 7, 30 and 90 days Stellar has moved +8.3%, +13.4% and -10.7% respectively; it trades -52.8% from its 52-week high and +34.6% above its 52-week low.
Bullish checklist (7/10)
- Price above SMA 200✓ Yes
- Price above SMA 50✓ Yes
- EMA 20 above EMA 50✓ Yes
- EMA 50 above EMA 200✗ No
- Supertrend bullish✓ Yes
- MACD above signal line✓ Yes
- RSI above 50✓ Yes
- ADX trend strength above 20 with +DI leading✓ Yes
- Above 20-day breakout level✗ No
- Above 55-day breakout level✗ No
Stellar technical indicators (2026-09-18)
| Indicator | Value | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| Price (daily close) | $0.1931 | |
| EMA 9 | $0.1844 | Price above |
| EMA 20 | $0.1826 | Price above |
| EMA 50 | $0.1805 | Price above |
| SMA 50 | $0.1759 | Price above |
| SMA 200 | $0.1762 | Price above |
| Supertrend (10, 3) | $0.1687 | Bullish |
| RSI (14) | 57.3 | Neutral |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 0.001937 / 0.001524 | Bullish crossover |
| ADX (14) / +DI / −DI | 26.7 / 28.2 / 12.7 | Strong trend |
| ATR (14) | $0.0108 | 5.6% daily range |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | $0.1699 – $0.1940 | Inside bands |
| 20-day high / 10-day low | $0.1937 / $0.1746 | Weekly breakout levels |
| 55-day high / 20-day low | $0.2018 / $0.1746 | Monthly breakout levels |
| 52-week high / low | $0.4087 / $0.1435 | -52.8% from high |
| Volume vs 20-day avg | 1.40× | Normal |
How these rules performed on Stellar (2021-09-01 → 2026-09-18)
| Rule | Total return | Max drawdown | Trades | Win rate | Avg trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy & hold | -45% | -83% | 1 | – | – |
| Daily (Supertrend + SMA 200) | +23% | -72% | 16 | 25% | +8.5% |
| Weekly (20/10 breakout) | +99% | -57% | 34 | 32% | +8.2% |
| Monthly (55/20 breakout) | +38% | -56% | 15 | 27% | +13.4% |
| Yearly (rising SMA 200) | -38% | -74% | 13 | 23% | -3.4% |
Long-only simulation on Binance daily closes, 0.1% fee per side, signals executed on the next candle. Trend-following rules typically win less than half of their trades but capture the large moves; this is historical simulation, not a forecast.
Recent Stellar signal changes
| Date | Timeframe | Signal | Price | Since then |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Daily | BUY | $0.1783 | +8.3% |
| 2026-09-10 | Daily | SELL | $0.1746 | +10.6% |
| 2026-08-30 | Weekly | SELL | $0.1746 | +10.6% |
| 2026-08-20 | Daily | BUY | $0.1817 | +6.3% |
| 2026-08-20 | Weekly | BUY | $0.1817 | +6.3% |
| 2026-06-25 | Monthly | SELL | $0.1789 | +7.9% |
| 2026-06-10 | Daily | SELL | $0.1829 | +5.6% |
| 2026-06-09 | Weekly | SELL | $0.1923 | +0.4% |
| 2026-05-28 | Daily | BUY | $0.2038 | -5.3% |
| 2026-05-28 | Weekly | BUY | $0.2038 | -5.3% |
| 2026-05-28 | Monthly | BUY | $0.2038 | -5.3% |
| 2026-05-15 | Monthly | SELL | $0.1547 | +24.8% |
| 2026-04-27 | Weekly | SELL | $0.1660 | +16.3% |
| 2026-04-21 | Monthly | BUY | $0.1791 | +7.8% |
| 2026-04-17 | Weekly | BUY | $0.1742 | +10.8% |
About Stellar
Created in 2014 by Jed McCaleb and Joyce Kim, Stellar runs a federated agreement protocol rather than mining or classic proof of stake, with validators choosing quorum slices they trust. The network is maintained by the non-profit Stellar Development Foundation and is aimed at cheap cross-border payments, asset issuance and fiat-anchored tokens, with a built-in decentralized exchange and path payments. Smart contracts arrived later through Soroban. XLM is used to pay very small transaction fees, to meet minimum account reserves and to act as a bridge asset between issued currencies; it is not a staking or governance token in the usual sense.
XLM is an old, widely distributed large cap whose float has grown through years of foundation distributions, and the SDF's 2019 decision to burn a large share of the supply remains a defining structural event. Price behaviour has historically been correlated with XRP, since both are payments-focused legacy assets often traded as a pair by retail flows, and with news around banking or remittance partnerships. Volatility tends to be lower than that of newer smart-contract chains between cycles, but XLM has a record of sharp, late-cycle speculative moves. Traders should also watch foundation wallet movements and lockup releases, since these are a recurring source of supply-side headlines.
Background information about the project, provided for context. It is not part of the signal calculation and contains no forecast.
Stellar signal FAQ
Is Stellar a buy or sell today?
As of 2026-09-18 the daily rule-based signal for Stellar (XLM) is BUY, the weekly signal is SELL, the monthly signal is SELL and the yearly regime is ACCUMULATE. These are automated technical readings, not investment advice.
What is the Stellar RSI right now?
The 14-day RSI for Stellar is 57.3. Readings above 70 are considered overbought and below 30 oversold, although in strong crypto trends RSI can stay elevated for weeks.
Is Stellar above its 200-day moving average?
Yes. Stellar trades +9.6% above its 200-day simple moving average of $0.1762.
How often are Stellar signals updated?
All Stellar signals on this page are recalculated automatically once per day, shortly after the 00:00 UTC daily candle closes on Binance.
What is the Stellar strength score?
The strength score of 70/100 counts how many of ten bullish technical conditions (moving averages, Supertrend, MACD, RSI, ADX and breakout levels) are currently true for Stellar. Higher means more indicators agree on an uptrend.