Bitcoin (BTC) Price Signal: Buy or Sell?
Rank #1 · $80,884 +5.8% 24h · Market cap $1.64T · Updated 2026-09-18 UTC close
Bitcoin price chart with signals
Today's Bitcoin signal explained
Bitcoin is currently on a daily BUY signal: the Supertrend (10, 3) indicator flipped bullish 31 days ago and the price ($80,884) is trading above its 200-day simple moving average ($70,433). Both the short-term trend and the long-term regime filter agree, which is the only condition under which this system issues a daily buy.
The weekly swing signal is SELL (flat). Bitcoin would need a daily close above its 20-day high of $81,270 to trigger a new breakout entry; this rule has been out of the market for 9 days.
The monthly position signal is SELL (flat) and has been for 9 days. A new entry requires a daily close above the 55-day high at $81,270 — a level that historically marked the start of the larger trends in this market.
The yearly regime is ACCUMULATE: price is above a rising 200-day moving average. In the last five years this has been the environment in which most of the sustainable upside in Bitcoin and in the wider crypto market has occurred.
Momentum check: the 14-day RSI is at 63.5. MACD is below its signal line. ADX at 41.1 indicates a strong trend. Volume is 1.65× its 20-day average. Over the last 7, 30 and 90 days Bitcoin has moved +4.7%, +16.7% and +25.8% respectively; it trades -35.1% from its 52-week high and +38.0% above its 52-week low.
Bullish checklist (7/10)
- Price above SMA 200✓ Yes
- Price above SMA 50✓ Yes
- EMA 20 above EMA 50✓ Yes
- EMA 50 above EMA 200✓ Yes
- Supertrend bullish✓ Yes
- MACD above signal line✗ No
- RSI above 50✓ Yes
- ADX trend strength above 20 with +DI leading✓ Yes
- Above 20-day breakout level✗ No
- Above 55-day breakout level✗ No
Bitcoin technical indicators (2026-09-18)
| Indicator | Value | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| Price (daily close) | $80,884 | |
| EMA 9 | $77,784 | Price above |
| EMA 20 | $77,253 | Price above |
| EMA 50 | $73,985 | Price above |
| SMA 50 | $72,504 | Price above |
| SMA 200 | $70,433 | Price above |
| Supertrend (10, 3) | $72,786 | Bullish |
| RSI (14) | 63.5 | Neutral |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 1,111.93 / 1,518.45 | Bearish crossover |
| ADX (14) / +DI / −DI | 41.1 / 36.7 / 12.7 | Strong trend |
| ATR (14) | $2,353 | 2.9% daily range |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | $75,046 – $81,282 | Inside bands |
| 20-day high / 10-day low | $81,270 / $75,644 | Weekly breakout levels |
| 55-day high / 20-day low | $81,270 / $75,644 | Monthly breakout levels |
| 52-week high / low | $124,659 / $58,625 | -35.1% from high |
| Volume vs 20-day avg | 1.65× | Elevated |
How these rules performed on Bitcoin (2021-09-01 → 2026-09-18)
| Rule | Total return | Max drawdown | Trades | Win rate | Avg trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy & hold | +66% | -77% | 1 | – | – |
| Daily (Supertrend + SMA 200) | +120% | -34% | 16 | 44% | +5.6% |
| Weekly (20/10 breakout) | +136% | -52% | 38 | 34% | +3.6% |
| Monthly (55/20 breakout) | +54% | -39% | 19 | 42% | +4.1% |
| Yearly (rising SMA 200) | +107% | -32% | 18 | 33% | +6.2% |
Long-only simulation on Binance daily closes, 0.1% fee per side, signals executed on the next candle. Trend-following rules typically win less than half of their trades but capture the large moves; this is historical simulation, not a forecast.
Recent Bitcoin signal changes
| Date | Timeframe | Signal | Price | Since then |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Weekly | SELL | $76,569 | +5.6% |
| 2026-09-10 | Monthly | SELL | $76,569 | +5.6% |
| 2026-09-03 | Weekly | BUY | $81,270 | -0.5% |
| 2026-09-02 | Weekly | SELL | $77,340 | +4.6% |
| 2026-08-19 | Daily | BUY | $69,335 | +16.7% |
| 2026-08-19 | Weekly | BUY | $69,335 | +16.7% |
| 2026-08-19 | Monthly | BUY | $69,335 | +16.7% |
| 2026-07-27 | Weekly | SELL | $63,756 | +26.9% |
| 2026-07-14 | Weekly | BUY | $65,044 | +24.4% |
| 2026-05-22 | Monthly | SELL | $75,540 | +7.1% |
| 2026-05-15 | Weekly | SELL | $79,113 | +2.2% |
| 2026-04-16 | Monthly | BUY | $75,154 | +7.6% |
| 2026-04-07 | Weekly | BUY | $71,924 | +12.5% |
| 2026-03-21 | Weekly | SELL | $68,918 | +17.4% |
| 2026-03-04 | Weekly | BUY | $72,667 | +11.3% |
About Bitcoin
Launched in January 2009 by the pseudonymous Satoshi Nakamoto, Bitcoin is the original public blockchain: an unpermissioned ledger secured by SHA-256 proof-of-work, where miners compete for the right to append blocks roughly every ten minutes. It was designed to let value move between parties without a bank or clearing house standing in the middle. BTC itself is the network's native unit and its security budget — it pays block subsidies and transaction fees to miners, and there is no issuer, no board and no governance token layered on top. Supply is capped at 21 million coins.
For traders, Bitcoin is the sector's reference asset. Issuance halves roughly every four years, with the most recent halving in April 2024 cutting the block subsidy to 3.125 BTC. Realized volatility is high by traditional-asset standards but consistently lower than most altcoins, and BTC dominance tends to rise when risk appetite in the wider crypto market falls. Since 2024 its flows have been shaped by US spot ETFs, which link it more tightly to macro liquidity, real rates and dollar strength than in earlier cycles. Structural risks are concentrated in regulation, mining economics and custody rather than protocol change.
Background information about the project, provided for context. It is not part of the signal calculation and contains no forecast.
Bitcoin signal FAQ
Is Bitcoin a buy or sell today?
As of 2026-09-18 the daily rule-based signal for Bitcoin (BTC) is BUY, the weekly signal is SELL, the monthly signal is SELL and the yearly regime is ACCUMULATE. These are automated technical readings, not investment advice.
What is the Bitcoin RSI right now?
The 14-day RSI for Bitcoin is 63.5. Readings above 70 are considered overbought and below 30 oversold, although in strong crypto trends RSI can stay elevated for weeks.
Is Bitcoin above its 200-day moving average?
Yes. Bitcoin trades +14.8% above its 200-day simple moving average of $70,433.
How often are Bitcoin signals updated?
All Bitcoin signals on this page are recalculated automatically once per day, shortly after the 00:00 UTC daily candle closes on Binance.
What is the Bitcoin strength score?
The strength score of 70/100 counts how many of ten bullish technical conditions (moving averages, Supertrend, MACD, RSI, ADX and breakout levels) are currently true for Bitcoin. Higher means more indicators agree on an uptrend.